NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated September 12, 2023
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gavin Gray | 3 | 48 | 100.0% | 1 | 28.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Mike Thorne | 3 | 48 | 100.0% | 1 | 28.8 | 1 |
| 3 | Luke Phelan | 2 | 48 | 66.7% | 3 | 26.6 | 4 |
| 3 | Nick Boucher | 2 | 48 | 66.7% | 3 | 26.9 | 3 |
| 3 | Matt Hogel | 2 | 48 | 66.7% | 3 | 26.2 | 6 |
| 6 | Andrew Batchelor | 1 | 48 | 33.3% | 6 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 6 | Andrew Moeller | 1 | 48 | 33.3% | 6 | 23.7 | 9 |
| 6 | Dan Ellenberger | 1 | 48 | 33.3% | 6 | 26.4 | 5 |
| 6 | Steve Creaser | 1 | 48 | 33.3% | 6 | 23.6 | 10 |
| 10 | Karl Loiseau | 0 | 48 | 0.0% | 10 | 24.2 | 8 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Atlanta Falcons | 1 | 9.8 | GB | 0.46 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 7.9 | BUF | 0.23 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | 10.8 | MIN | 0.73 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 10.0 | SEA | 0.69 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 1 | 11.4 | LA | 0.76 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1 | 7.4 | CHI | 0.61 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 1 | 11.6 | NYJ | 0.75 |
| Green Bay Packers | 1 | 9.2 | ATL | 0.54 |
| New York Giants | 0 | 5.8 | ARI | 0.64 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 10.0 | KC | 0.39 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 9.6 | CAR | 0.62 |
| Chicago Bears | 0 | 6.6 | TB | 0.39 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 1 | 10.5 | CIN | 0.38 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 10.2 | PIT | 0.57 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0 | 6.2 | HOU | 0.55 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 8.7 | SF | 0.24 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 0 | 9.8 | JAX | 0.61 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 0 | 7.5 | PHI | 0.27 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Washington Commanders | 1 | 6.8 | DEN | 0.38 |
| Buffalo Bills | 0 | 9.6 | LV | 0.77 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0 | 7.3 | CLE | 0.43 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 10.7 | NE | 0.59 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 6.1 | NO | 0.38 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0 | 9.6 | BAL | 0.62 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New York Jets | 1 | 9.0 | DAL | 0.25 |
| New England Patriots | 0 | 7.2 | MIA | 0.41 |
| Tennessee Titans | 0 | 7.4 | LAC | 0.39 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 0 | 7.9 | WAS | 0.62 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0 | 8.9 | TEN | 0.61 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 0 | 7.4 | DET | 0.31 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 1 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Green Bay Packers | 1 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Chicago Bears | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 14 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 0 | 16 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 13 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Washington Commanders | 1 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 13 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| New York Jets | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tennessee Titans | 0 | 12 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| New England Patriots | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0 | 8 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Denver Broncos | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Draft Results
